Dear Shoreline Schools Community,
As I complete my first year as your superintendent, I want to take this opportunity again to thank our community for the warm welcome you have given me.
Last summer, I crafted an entry plan titled “Hitting the Ground Listening and Learning” and I am grateful to the hundreds of people who contributed to the entry plan process. Our community has been generous with its time, insights and honesty.
The process involved asking four questions of individuals and groups.
- What should I (Superintendent Miner) know about Shoreline Public Schools and the Shoreline and Lake Forest Park communities?
- What should be preserved in the Shoreline Public Schools?
- What are the key issues facing our school system which need attention?
- How can I be most helpful in my role as superintendent?
Participants used index cards to provide their input on the four questions. When it came time for the analysis portion of the process, the cards were organized into groups that included staff, students and community.
More than two dozen themes emerged from the group processes and individual interviews.
The completed entry plan document is posted on our Web site. Together with information about growth patterns and facilities, this information will be used to shape what we are calling “Future Shoreline.”
As a part of that data, Dr. Les Kendrick recently completed a new demographic study of our district to help us project enrollment for the next 15 years.
True to Kendrick’s predictions in the last demographic study nine years ago, enrollment declined from 2006 to 2012 and then has increased in the past two years.
One of the most important drivers in making enrollment projections is the birth trend. The number of births has been trending up and this year’s cohort for entering kindergarten is 615. The entering kindergarten class of 2018 is projected to be 657.
Similar to the last two years, Shoreline will most likely continue to grow at a slightly faster rate than the overall King County K-12 population over the next four to five years. Between 2020 and 2030 the District is expected to grow at about the same rate as the King County K-12 population. As a general rule, enrollment forecasts beyond five to six years are less reliable than those that cover a shorter period of time.
Seattle is seeing growth it hasn’t seen since the early ‘90s. Business is booming and the unemployment rate is well below the national average. As a result, Kendrick believes our district may grow faster than predicted in his “medium” forecast.
On July 15 at 5 p.m. the School Board will hear a presentation on our facilities during a study session. The information provided in that study will help us plan for our future needs into the next decade. The public is welcome to attend.
Throughout the summer, the District will have a presence at a number of events. I look forward to attending the Shoreline Farmer’s Market on July 25, Celebrate Shoreline on Aug. 15 and the Lake Forest Park Farmer’s Market on Aug. 30. I hope you will stop by to say hello.
Have a wonderful summer,